Colorado Springs 0-1 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.46/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.16
+8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.2 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Orange County SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
404 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.11.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
10.10.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
16.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-2 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
16.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
0-1
AWAY Orange County SC
0.49 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
390 Passes 274
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC nicked a narrow win over Colorado Springs 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 57% of the ball to Orange County SC's 43%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.49 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC?

Colorado Springs 0-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 45%, draw 28%, Orange County SC 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Colorado Springs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
17 Aug 2025
02:00 Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:00 Hartford Athletic vs FC Tulsa Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Battery Analysis →
02:30 Miami FC vs Louisville City Analysis →
04:00 New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights Analysis →
04:00 El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay Analysis →