Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sacramento Republic v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sacramento Republic 1-1 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
File this under upsets: a 66% lean on Sacramento Republic went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 58% to 42% in Sacramento Republic's favour, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.06 to 1.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Sacramento Republic against 0.50 for Monterey Bay.
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Result & Final Score
Sacramento Republic 1 - 1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 66%, draw 22%, Monterey Bay 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic), BTTS No went the other way.