Crotone 2-5 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.49/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.40
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
2W-3D-1L
AWAY US Latina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
29.03.2025 Crotone Crotone 4-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
17.11.2024 US Latina US Latina 0-4 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
10.03.2024 Crotone Crotone 1-3 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.11.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
25.03.2023 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-5
AWAY US Latina
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crotone vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina swept aside Crotone 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Crotone had 47% of the ball to US Latina's 53%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crotone and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Crotone vs US Latina?

Crotone 2-5 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Crotone 54%, draw 25%, US Latina 21%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crotone), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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